A. M. 
The World Bank (WB) has established a roadmap for stable but moderate growth for El Salvador in the medium term. The most recent projections for the country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) suggest that the economy will continue to expand at a steady pace, with a target of achieving greater dynamism by 2027.
The WB expects GDP growth to be 2.50% for both 2025 and 2026. This figure reflects a floor of stability that, although positive in a global context of low growth, also indicates that the Salvadoran economy could be operating close to its current potential limit without structural changes.
The most relevant data in the projections is the jump to 3.00% for 2027. This increase is not an automatic forecast, but rather a growth target that the country could achieve if it manages to implement the necessary reforms to boost its productivity.
Breaking through the 2.50% ceiling and securing 3.00% requires El Salvador to focus its economic strategy on elements beyond short-term investment. Future growth must be driven by Total Factor Productivity, requiring a focus on transformative entrepreneurship (companies that innovate and add value) and the urgent correction of ecosystem deficiencies, such as credit shortages and a lack of skilled workers. In essence, the World Bank presents a cautious view: stability is the baseline scenario, but 3.00% is the reward for ambition and structural reform.
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