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The salvadoran economy is maintaining a growth trajectory and could close 2026 with an expansion of between 2.5% and 3%, according to projections presented by the president of the Colegio de Profesionales en Ciencias Económicas (COLPROCE), Óscar Cabrera.
During his analysis of the economic situation, Cabrera highlighted that El Salvador registered sustained growth during 2025 and that, in the first quarter of 2026, the quarterly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by approximately 4.2%, reflecting the dynamism of the country’s productive activity.
One of the main drivers of this performance has been the construction sector, which has registered double-digit growth rates and has become one of the sectors contributing most to economic expansion. However, COLPROCE believes that this pace could moderate during the second half of the year, as the economy moves toward more sustainable growth levels.
Another positive indicator is the performance of credit to the private sector, which continues to grow at around 10%. This performance reflects greater mobilization of resources within the financial system and creates favorable conditions for businesses and other productive sectors to maintain their investments and operations.
The financial system also exhibits elements of stability. According to the analysis presented, international reserves have improved thanks to the financial support program with the International Monetary Fund, while the liquidity reserve covers approximately 13% of deposits, contributing to the system’s capacity to respond to potential liquidity needs.
For the second half of the year, COLPROCE anticipates a moderation in the growth rate but maintains a positive outlook. Factors that could influence this include the behavior of international oil prices, the evolution of remittances, and international economic conditions.
Despite these factors, the estimated growth of between 2.5% and 3% for 2026 demonstrates that the Salvadoran economy will continue to expand. The challenge will be maintaining investment levels and strengthening productive sectors so that this growth can be sustained over time.
In this context, construction, private credit, and investment continue to be important components of economic activity, while productive diversification, innovation, and strengthening human capital represent opportunities to increase the country’s productivity.
COLPROCE’s analysis also highlights that El Salvador has room to move toward a higher value-added economy by strengthening national production, investment, and the creation of opportunities. This would allow the country to consolidate the growth already recorded and lay the groundwork for more sustained economic expansion in the coming years.
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