This is the fastest post-recession pace in 80 years, and that effect will be largely due to the strong rebound in some of the major economies.
This despite the upturn, by the end of this year, global output will be about 2% lower than projected before the pandemic.
By 2022, per capita income losses will not be reversed for about two-thirds of emerging market and developing economies. Among low-income economies, where vaccination has been delayed, the effects of the pandemic have reversed gains in poverty reduction, and exacerbated insecurity and other long-standing problems.
Among major economies, growth in the United States is projected to reach 6.8% this year as a result of large-scale fiscal support and easing of pandemic-related restrictions. In other advanced economies, growth is also strong but slower.
Among emerging markets and developing economies, China is forecast to rebound 8.5% this year on the back of pent-up demand.
The report highlights the anticipation that emerging markets and developing economies, as a whole, will expand by 6% this year, driven by stronger demand, and high commodity prices.
Growth in low-income economies this year is also expected to be the slowest in 20 years, except for 2020, reflecting, in part, the very slow pace of vaccination. Low-income economies are further anticipated to expand by 2.9% in 2021, before rebounding to 4.7% in 2022. The group's output level in 2022 is projected to be 4.9% lower compared to what was projected before the pandemic.
"As developing economies recover from the Covid-19 pandemic, lower trade costs may create an enabling environment to re-engage in global supply chains and restart trade growth", Indermit Gill, vice president of Equitable Growth, Finance and Institutions at the World Bank Group.