Tuesday, 04 April 2023 17:47

Commodity price volatility slows growth

Written by Evelyn Alas

According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), in recent years, food and energy prices have risen to near-record highs in the context of the pandemic and war in Ukraine, which have led to major supply disruptions.

At the same time, there has also been a marked increase in commodity price volatility.

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For example, higher commodity price volatility could induce greater volatility in the public finances of commodity-exporting countries and thus lead to intermittent public investments.

Global food commodity values increased by nearly 40% in the two years prior to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and the war has pushed prices even higher.

Presión constante sobre materias primas de la construcción

The cost of wheat also rose by 38% in march 2022 from the previous month. Energy prices rose sharply and, in Europe, natural gas prices have tripled.

Likewise, the price of energy has also been felt in the historical prices of fertilizers commonly used for food production.

A un año de la invasión a Ucrania, precios de materias primas bajan

These measures would help avoid distortions that would prevent or delay adjustments to higher energy prices. In addition, they would maintain incentives for the development of alternative green energy sources and support fiscal sustainability.

This would also have beneficial distributional effects, as energy subsidies often benefit wealthier households as well.

 

Translated by: A.M