Tuesday, 21 February 2023 16:52

Arabica Coffee prices rise on fundamental and currency factors

Written by Evelyn Alas

Arabica coffee prices rose broadly this friday, in the first session of the may/2023 contract as an immediate position. Prices climbed to US$185.75 for the first time since october 2022; that is, reaching a three and a half month high.

Drivers of the price movement: Heavy rains in southern Brazil continue to generate uncertainty regarding the productive potential of this year's Brazilian crop, with harvesting set to begin at the end of april.

Ministerio de Agricultura y Ganadería

The outlook is negative for local producers, as heavy rains slow down pre-harvest work and create conditions for disease incidence.

Brazilian supply risk has boosted coffee prices this week.

Los precios del café están al alza, pero podría no repercutir al consumo

The currencies of Colombia and Brazil recovered positions against the dollar, advancing 0.5% and 1.1%, respectively. The dollar is influenced by economic expectations for the end of the first quarter of the year, as well as the US Federal Reserve's intention to maintain its interest rate hike program. This factor was positive for coffee.

Los precios del café amargan negocio a productores e inversionistas, pero  no todo está perdido

Inventories certified by the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) fell today to 832 thousand 60 kilogram bags, likewise, at the close there was no volume pending certification.

El Salvador's producers have exported US$155 million of coffee from the 2021-2022 cycle, at an average price of US$237 per quintal.

Coffee exports for the 2021-2022 harvest have grown 51.5% and are expected to close with the highest figure in the last decade, driven by an improvement in the price of coffee at the international level.

 

Translated by: A.M